Rotherham United will know that if they are to stand a chance of avoiding relegation this time around, they must be particularly resolute at home, and we see them grinding out an important first win at the weekend.
Reading arrive with a depleted squad, and Warne's men will see the contest as a good chance to take all three points and get off to a strong start.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
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