Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
34.83%	27.12%	38.05%

Both teams to score 50.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08%

54.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79%

76.21%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05%

29.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95%

66.05%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01%

27.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37%

63.63%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 34.82%

Blackburn Rovers 38.05%

Draw 27.11%

Stoke City	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.82%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.05%