Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
36.94%	27.66%	35.4%

Both teams to score 48.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02%

56.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12%

77.88%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3%

65.7%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16%

66.84%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 36.94%

Middlesbrough 35.4%

Draw 27.66%

Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.94%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4%