Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
34.6%	27.25%	38.15%

Both teams to score 50%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54%

55.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35%

76.65%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45%

66.55%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11%

63.89%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 34.59%

Cardiff City 38.14%

Draw 27.24%

Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.14%