SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
53.76% ( -0.87) | 23.94% ( 0.04) | 22.3% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( 0.74) | 48.91% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( 0.67) | 71% ( -0.67) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.05) | 18.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( -0.09) | 49.06% ( 0.08) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( 1.22) | 36.42% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( 1.21) | 73.21% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.3% |
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