This could emerge as one of the best fixtures of the weekend with both teams having put together squads capable of challenging for promotion. We can only predict a draw between two well-match sides, Stoke potentially being content if they can avoid a second defeat in succession.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
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