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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
BC

Hull City
1 - 1
Bristol City

Tufan (17')
Greaves (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (62')
Wells (65'), Gardner-Hickman (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

This should be a competitive encounter with both teams recognising that these are the kind of games that they need to be winning if they want to challenge for promotion. Nevertheless, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which the visitors would be more accepting of after defeat last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
39.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.105 -0.1)59.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.07% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)64.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.1 -0.1)70.98% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 39.96%
    Bristol City 31.83%
    Draw 28.2%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Hull City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 4-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Hull City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Hull City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1


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