SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.1% ( 0.17) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 32.3% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( 0.13) | 53.28% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( 0.12) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.15) | 25.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( 0.21) | 60.41% ( -0.21) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0.02) | 30.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( -0.02) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.3% |
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