Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
