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SL
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
ML

Swansea
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.52%27.77%37.71%
Both teams to score 48.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55%57.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59%31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22%67.78%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 34.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.71%
    Draw 27.77%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.51%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.71%

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