Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
