Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
31.45%	28.32%	40.22%

Both teams to score 46.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.05%

59.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8%

80.2%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44%

71.56%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.1%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 31.45%

Cardiff City 40.22%

Draw 28.31%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.45%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.22%