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RL
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
ML

Reading
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Richards (43'), Rinomhota (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fletcher (22'), Bola (29')
Howson (71'), Fletcher (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMiddlesbrough
31.75%27.82%40.42%
Both teams to score 47.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9%58.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23%78.77%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36%33.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72%70.28%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Reading 31.75%
    Middlesbrough 40.42%
    Draw 27.81%
ReadingDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 40.42%

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