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ML
Championship | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
SL

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Swansea

Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
33.26%27.3%39.45%
Both teams to score 49.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18%55.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06%76.94%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58%31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.79%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.16%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 33.25%
    Swansea City 39.44%
    Draw 27.29%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.25%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 11.16%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.44%

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