Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
33.26%	27.3%	39.45%

Both teams to score 49.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18%

55.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06%

76.94%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21%

67.79%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 33.25%

Swansea City 39.44%

Draw 27.29%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.44%