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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
IL

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
44.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.65% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.8% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.68% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)63.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.04%
    Ipswich Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.71%
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-2 Norwich
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship


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