SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
38.4% ( 0.01) | 27.49% ( -0.06) | 34.11% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( 0.23) | 56.41% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( 0.19) | 77.43% ( -0.19) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.12) | 28.51% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( 0.15) | 64.28% ( -0.15) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 0.15) | 31.15% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( 0.17) | 67.48% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.11% |
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