As Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only three goals in four league games, they should be able to keep Wigan largely at bay for 90 minutes. However, their own struggle for fluency up front could result in them being forced to settle for a draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.
1.45) 
-0.11) 
