With Wigan under new management, we expect their players to put on an improving showing against inconsistent opponents. Nevertheless, Rovers still boast one of the strongest home records in the division, leading us to predict a narrow win for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.