SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Birmingham City |
56.44% ( -3.06) | 23.13% ( 0.86) | 20.43% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -0.58) | 47.69% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -0.54) | 69.89% ( 0.54) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -1.24) | 16.69% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( -2.27) | 46.58% ( 2.27) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( 2.05) | 37.58% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( 1.95) | 74.36% ( -1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.62)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
