Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.