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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 28
Sep 24, 2020 at 8.30am UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan Jianye
0 - 2
Shandong


Huang (29'), Karanga (62'), Changjie (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Guedes (37'), Pelle (41' pen.)
Long (21')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Shandong Taishan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.

Result
HenanDrawShandong Taishan
28.37%24.26%47.37%
Both teams to score 57.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88%45.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54%67.46%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65%65.35%
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84%19.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.18%50.82%
Score Analysis
    Henan 28.37%
    Shandong Taishan 47.37%
    Draw 24.26%
HenanDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 6.98%
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-1 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 5.18%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.37%


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