Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.