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Thursday, March 28
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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Sep 28, 2020 at 8.30am UK
Kunshan Sports Center Stadium
CM

Beijing Guoan
4 - 0
Shijiazhuang

Fernando (17', 75'), Bakambu (28'), Dun (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chen (32')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
63.02%20.7%16.28%
Both teams to score 52.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34%43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95%66.05%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77%13.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.01%39.99%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41%76.59%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 63.01%
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 16.28%
    Draw 20.7%
Beijing GuoanDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0 @ 10.8%
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 4.85%
1-2 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.28%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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