Changchun
2 - 1
Guangzhou City

Lima (35'), Negrao (78')
Li (43'), Yang (85'), Chen (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wen (21')
Yunlong (57'), Cardona (79'), Gong (80'), Tixiang (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Guangzhou City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Guangzhou City
48.06%	27.5%	24.44%

Both teams to score 44.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.71%

60.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.54%

80.46%

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78%

25.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04%

59.96%

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2%

40.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62%

77.37%

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 48.05%

Guangzhou City 24.44%

Draw 27.49%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Guangzhou City
1-0 @ 14.17% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.14% Total : 48.05%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.44%