Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
