Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
