SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
48.64% ( 2.31) | 22.37% ( 0.15) | 29% ( -2.46) |
| Both teams to score 64.32% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.2% ( -2.19) | 35.8% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.12% ( -2.45) | 57.88% ( 2.45) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -0.01) | 15.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( -0.02) | 43.7% ( 0.02) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -2.54) | 24.21% ( 2.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -3.74) | 58.55% ( 3.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.73)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29% |
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