Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
70.22% ( -0.42) | 17.01% ( 0.21) | 12.76% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66% ( -0.51) | 34% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.13% ( -0.58) | 55.86% ( 0.58) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.34% ( -0.22) | 8.65% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.17% ( -0.54) | 29.82% ( 0.54) |
Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% ( -0.03) | 38.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% ( -0.03) | 75.36% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.22% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.01% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.76% |
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