SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 7.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.98%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
79.41% ( -0.53) | 13.39% ( 0.35) | 7.19% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( -1.19) | 34.29% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.8% ( -1.35) | 56.19% ( 1.35) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.19% ( -0.36) | 6.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.91% ( -0.96) | 25.08% ( 0.95) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.43) | 49.87% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.43% ( -0.31) | 84.57% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.24% Total : 79.4% | 1-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 13.39% | 0-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 7.19% |
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