SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
16.33% ( -0.35) | 19.45% ( -0.14) | 64.22% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.2% ( -0.01) | 37.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.95% ( -0.01) | 60.05% ( 0.02) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.42) | 36.29% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0.43) | 73.08% ( 0.43) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( 0.13) | 11.13% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( 0.27) | 35.56% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.33% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.91% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.4% Total : 64.22% |
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