Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Changchun Yatai
40.55% ( 0.76)	25.16% ( -0.4)	34.29% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 56.83% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29% (

1.72)

46.7% (

-1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03% (

1.6)

68.97% (

-1.59)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

1.15)

22.9% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

1.67)

56.65% (

-1.66)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

0.61)

26.29% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

0.8)

61.41% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 40.55%

Changchun Yatai 34.29%

Draw 25.15%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.29%