Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
