Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.
