SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Shenzhen | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dalian Pro | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Wuhan | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Changchun Yatai | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
33.64% ( -0.46) | 27.04% ( -0.2) | 39.32% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( 0.73) | 54.78% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( 0.6) | 76.09% ( -0.6) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( 0.06) | 30.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.07) | 66.88% ( -0.07) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( 0.72) | 27.21% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( 0.93) | 62.62% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.32% |
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