Although there is only a point between the sides after three matches, Shandong Taishan usually fare well on home turf against Thursday's opponents and we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch a fourth consecutive home victory over Changchun. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Changchun Yatai
34.48% ( 2.18)	28.65% ( 0.23)	36.86% ( -2.41)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.34% (

-0.54)

60.66% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.26% (

-0.41)

80.74% (

0.41)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

1.22)

33.08% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

1.33)

69.67% (

-1.33)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-1.74)

31.54% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

-2.05)

67.93% (

2.05)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 34.48%

Changchun Yatai 36.85%

Draw 28.64%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.85%