SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Guangzhou City | 6 | -13 | 0 |
| 18 | Hebei | 6 | -15 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Dalian Pro | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Dalian Pro |
26.41% ( 1.91) | 26.78% ( 1.33) | 46.81% ( -3.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( -3.67) | 56.54% ( 3.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( -3.05) | 77.53% ( 3.05) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.36) | 36.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.36) | 73.73% ( 0.36) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -3.01) | 24.15% ( 3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -4.47) | 58.47% ( 4.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 1.19)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.33)1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.57)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.62)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.8% |
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