Neither team has been great in front of goal, so we expect a low-scoring affair here. That said, we are also backing the away side to claim a narrow victory and heap more misery on their hosts come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Dalian Pro
26.41% ( 1.91)	26.78% ( 1.33)	46.81% ( -3.24)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

-3.67)

56.54% (

3.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

-3.05)

77.53% (

3.05)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

-0.36)

36.94% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

-0.36)

73.73% (

0.36)

Dalian Pro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-3.01)

24.15% (

3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-4.47)

58.47% (

4.48)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 26.41%

Dalian Pro 46.8%

Draw 26.78%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Dalian Pro
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 1.19) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.8%