Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Dalian Pro | 9 | -2 | 10 |
11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shandong Taishan | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 9 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
Result | ||
Dalian Pro | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
22.55% ( 1.09) | 22.96% ( 0.01) | 54.5% ( -1.1) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( 1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.59% ( 1.23) | 44.42% ( -1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( 1.18) | 66.79% ( -1.17) |
Dalian Pro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% ( 1.7) | 33.69% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( 1.81) | 70.34% ( -1.81) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% ( 0.05) | 16.21% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% ( 0.1) | 45.7% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Dalian Pro | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 54.5% |
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