Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 6, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Development Area Stadium

Changchun
1 - 2
Shandong

Negrao (19')
Liao (45'), Pengfei (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Crysan (15'), Chen (87')
Crysan (30'), Jin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Changchun Yatai 0-2 Shandong Taishan

Shandong Taishan have hit the ground running in the new campaign and will be looking to establish themselves in the upper echelons of the table. Looking at past results between the sides, we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last seven outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shandong Taishan
35.25% ( 0.33)	27.51% ( 1.02)	37.25% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

-3.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-4.03)

56.4% (

4.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-3.36)

77.41% (

3.36)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59% (

-1.78)

30.41% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39% (

-2.17)

66.62% (

2.17)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

-2.7)

29.18% (

2.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

-3.45)

65.12% (

3.46)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 35.24%

Shandong Taishan 37.25%

Draw 27.51%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shandong Taishan
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 1.08) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.24%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 1.29) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.25%