Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 6 | 10 | 14 |
3 | Shandong Taishan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 6 | 4 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 6 | 10 | 14 |
3 | Shandong Taishan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
Result | ||
Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
43.35% ( 0.99) | 28.29% ( -0.44) | 28.35% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 44.95% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.16% ( 1.25) | 60.83% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.13% ( 0.93) | 80.87% ( -0.93) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( 1.14) | 27.86% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( 1.44) | 63.46% ( -1.44) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( 0.24) | 37.69% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.53% ( 0.23) | 74.47% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.35% |
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