Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Hebei win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
