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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Aug 6, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Hongkou Football Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 2
Changchun

Jonjic (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Negrao (79', 86' pen.)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Changchun Yatai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawChangchun Yatai
39.57%24.54%35.9%
Both teams to score 59.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04%65.96%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68%55.32%
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09%23.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88%58.12%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 39.57%
    Changchun Yatai 35.9%
    Draw 24.53%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.9%

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