Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
