Guangzhou City
2 - 4
Shenzhen

Leonco (72'), Cardona (87')
Zhengyu (20'), Miao (25'), Ruibao (45'), Tixiang (51')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Lin (8'), Yuanyi (14'), Kardec (34', 47')
Shinar (64'), Ke (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Shenzhen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Shenzhen
37.1%	24.26%	38.64%

Both teams to score 60.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86%

42.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46%

64.54%

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38%

22.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76%

56.24%

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94%

55.07%

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 37.1%

Shenzhen 38.64%

Draw 24.26%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Shenzhen
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 8.5% 0-1 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.64%