Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.