Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou R&F would win this match.
