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Chinese Super League
Apr 26, 2021 at 1pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou R&F
3 - 1
Chongqing

Zhizhao (46'), Guilherme (72', 90+3')
Guilherme (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yin (57')
Jin (27')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou R&F would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawChongqing Liangjiang Athletic
40.45%24.59%34.95%
Both teams to score 58.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02%43.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63%66.36%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24%21.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06%54.94%
Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87%59.13%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 40.45%
    Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic 34.95%
    Draw 24.59%
Guangzhou CityDrawChongqing Liangjiang Athletic
2-1 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.95%

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