SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
43.19% ( 0.32) | 26.31% | 30.49% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.12) | 52.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.11) | 74.38% ( 0.1) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.1) | 24.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 0.14) | 58.6% ( -0.15) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( -0.29) | 31.76% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( -0.33) | 68.19% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.49% |
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