SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
53.04% ( -0.49) | 24.06% ( 0.25) | 22.9% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.83) | 48.77% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.76) | 70.87% ( 0.76) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.5) | 18.33% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( -0.85) | 49.43% ( 0.84) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( -0.25) | 35.78% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( -0.25) | 72.55% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.9% |
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