SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
54.68% ( 0.27) | 23.19% ( -0.12) | 22.13% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.34) | 45.91% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( 0.32) | 68.22% ( -0.32) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( 0.22) | 16.68% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( 0.4) | 46.55% ( -0.39) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( 0.05) | 34.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( 0.05) | 71.65% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 22.13% |
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