SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Qingdao Jonoon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Qingdao Jonoon.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
44.23% ( -0.26) | 27.29% ( 0.06) | 28.48% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.12) | 57.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.87% ( -0.09) | 78.13% ( 0.1) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.19) | 25.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -0.25) | 60.7% ( 0.26) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.1) | 35.66% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( 0.1) | 72.43% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.48% |
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