SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
34.2% ( 0.85) | 26.53% ( -0.16) | 39.26% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.78) | 52.63% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.67) | 74.28% ( -0.67) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.93) | 29.21% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( 1.13) | 65.16% ( -1.13) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.01) | 26.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.02) | 61.34% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.26% |
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