SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
29.18% ( -0.16) | 27.27% ( -0.07) | 43.55% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.09% ( 0.19) | 56.91% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( 0.15) | 77.82% ( -0.15) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.02) | 34.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( -0.02) | 71.65% ( 0.03) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.2) | 25.93% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( 0.27) | 60.92% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.18% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.54% |
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