SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
20.48% ( -0.46) | 23.18% ( -0.16) | 56.33% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( 0.11) | 47.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( 0.1) | 70.06% ( -0.1) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.41) | 37.64% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.58% ( -0.4) | 74.42% ( 0.4) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.26) | 16.8% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( 0.46) | 46.76% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.32% |
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